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Year
2021
Quarter
Q3
Category
Drivers of Creative Destruction
Winners Take All
Disruption of the Incumbents
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Asia
2021 Q3
๐จ๐ณ gov't $: $2.4b SMIC's new chip plant, $60b in loans to 1k selected co
Asia
2021 Q3
# unicorns ๐บ๐ธ=233 v ๐จ๐ณ=227, #1 by $: ๐จ๐ณByteDance=$280b v ๐บ๐ธStripe=$96b
1H 2021 VC funding: ๐บ๐ธ=$200b v ๐จ๐ณ=$50b
Asia
2021 Q3
UK Telecom bill: Huawei official ban, remove all equipment by 2027
Asia
2021 Q3
๐ฑ๐น Defense Deputy Minister: "...not buy new Chinese phones...get rid of
those already purchased as fast as reasonably possible..."
Asia
2021 Q3
USA Comm Dept: SMIC, DJI, +60 co ban list (no export ๐บ๐ธ tech components)
SMIC: "will impact our efforts to produce โค10 nm"
Asia
2021 Q3
๐ฎ๐ณ+๐ฏ๐ต official communications partnership: 5G + undersea cables
Asia
2021 Q3
๐ฎ๐ณ Trans Minister to $TSLA: โmake cars in ๐ฎ๐ณ, sell in ๐ฎ๐ณ, export from ๐ฎ๐ณโ
Asia
2021 Q3
~10% Foxconn's iPhone assembly/manufacturing: ๐จ๐ณ โ ๐ฎ๐ณ
Asia
2021 Q3
not using the internet: India=763b people, China=502b, Pakistan=162b
Asia
2021 Q3
$250b ๐ฎ๐ณ internet mkt cap 2050E: 43% comm + 14% video=educ + 8% fintech
Asia
2021 Q3
๐ฎ๐ณ government welcomes establishment of a semiconductor foundry
Bitcoin
2021 Q3
๐ first digital/unforgeable/scarce commodity in world history
15-aug-1971 (50yrs), Nixon suspends USD:gold convertibility
6-oct-2009 first day BTC had a price: $1 then = $44 *million* today
7-sep-2021 ๐ธ๐ป โ โฟ official currency, ๐ in the ๐บ๏ธ, $30 for each user
Bitcoin
2021 Q3
1 BTC: >1 USD (Feb-2011), >1 Gold oz (Mar-2017), >24.6x Gold oz (Q3 '21)
Bitcoin
2021 Q3
the greatest invention for personal freedom since the gun
fiat: backed by violence, BTC: backed by math โ peaceful revolution
Bitcoin
2021 Q3
every property is a govt IOU as govts enforce private property rights
except bearer assets: physically custodied gold and private BTC keys
priced out of the real estate market, many will turn to bitcoin?
Bitcoin
2021 Q3
if valid signature โ BTC takes you seriously, no matter who you are
mathematically responsible in perpetuity, w/o counterparty risk
Bitcoin
2021 Q3
corp treasury: ๐ฅMSTR=114k ๐ฅTSLA=43k ๐ฅSQ=8k | #1 ETF: GBTC=0.7m
Bitcoin
2021 Q3
sovg treasury: ๐ฅ๐ง๐ฌ=213k ๐ฅ๐บ๐ฆ=46k ๐ฅ๐ธ๐ป=700
Bitcoin
2021 Q3
51% attack cost: $28b in hardware, $17m/day in elec consumption
bitcoinโs โelectricity-hungryโ consumption โ 0.73% world โ ๐ต๐ญ
Bitcoin
2021 Q3
12yrs old BTC: 18.8m circulating (90%), 2.2m to mine @ $43.5k
mined: 78% buy+hold (16% "lost") 22% trading. ฯ gold > BTC
38m active BTC users (0.5% global pop), 0.8m holding โฅ1.0 BTC
1995 internet penetration = 0.4% (58% in 2019), just the beginning
Amazon
2021 Q3
#1 company by R&D: $50b (2021E), growing capex faster than everyone else
One palm-scanning system launches at Red Rocks Amphitheater
Inferentia: own custom-designed chips for Alexa cpu, sorry Nvidia
#1 corporate buyer of renewable energy
Amazon
2021 Q3
#1 e-retailer USA: 41% mkt sh (5.8x Walmart), 5% of *all* USA retail
55% units sold = 3rd-party (50% YoY), 50k sellers generating $1m
213m Prime members, $1.4k/yr avg Prime spend
opens 100 facilities + hires 125k workers, raises avg wage to $18/hr
Amazon
2021 Q3
#1 fulfillment co: 67 planes, 500k drivers
0.5m last mile drivers. carries โ of own USA orders โ 85% by 2022
70% of USA pop within 160km of an Amazon Airport, 54% in May-2020
๐บ๐ธ: ๐ฅUSPS=38% ๐ฅAMZN=34% ๐ฅUPS=16%
2k police + fire dept partnered w/ Ring, 48/50 USA states
Amazon Freight Partner: 1.1k Amazon-branded tractors vs 7.4k Walmart
Amazon
2021 Q3
#1 cloud infra provider = AWS: 33% mkt sh, $45b rev in 2020, ~6% web
$10b Project Kuiper: 3k satellite constellation to cover 95% pop
Amazon
2021 Q3
#1 smart speaker USA: 70% mkt sh, 110m Echoโs sold, 17m in Q4 2020
Amazon
2021 Q3
#1 e-grocery USA by value: $15b vs $10b Walmart, #2 by %: 30% v 27%
11 stores using Amazon One: biometric check-out, 1 in London
Amazon
2021 Q3
#3 ads (10% mkt sh): $20b/yr biz, 56% *product* searches on amazon.com
Tesla
2021 Q3
#1 valuable carmaker: Tesla = 3.2x Toyota = 6.9x VW โ ฮฃ carmakers
2020: S&P500 (#5), top valuable brands (#40), first full-yr profit
among USA carmakers: Teslaโs FTEs = 46% GM = 38% Ford
26% automotive gross margin, vs 19% VW
Tesla
2021 Q3
safest vehicles ever tested: NHTSA 5โญ safety ratings all categories
Tesla
2021 Q3
๐ 1m EVs, 1.6m to date, 2020=0.5m, Q2=0.2m, ๐จ๐ณ plant rate > 8.7k/week
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