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Year
2021
Quarter
Q3
Category
Drivers of Creative Destruction
Winners Take All
Disruption of the Incumbents
Section
Amazon
Apple
Asia
Bitcoin
Blockchain
Borders
Capital
Cloud
Commerce
Communications
Credit
Deception
EV
Facebook
Internet
Manufacturing
ML
Nations
OS
Platforms
Rides
Robots
Skills
Square
Tesla
Twilio
Uber
Tag
5g
ads
aerospace
ai
android
api
app stores
batteries
bikes
CAGR
covid-19
delivery services
employees (full-time equivalent)
fintech
gold
gps
healthcare
household
id
IoT
iphone
ipo
language
lidar
logistics
maps
market capitalization
micromobility
mobiles
monthly active users (MAU)
open source
population
privacy
r&d
religion
saas
satellites
search
self driving vehicles
semiconductors
storage
surveillance
test
unicorn
venture capital
wearables
Geo
africa
australia
bangladesh
brazil
canada
china
denmark
europe
european union
france
germany
great britain
india
indonesia
italy
japan
mexico
netherlands
nigeria
norway
pakistan
russia
singapore
south korea
spain
sweden
switzerland
taiwan
united kingdom
united states
Organization
Aave
ABB
Adobe
Adyen
Aerion
Afterpay
Airbnb
Alibaba
Amazon
AngelList
Apple
Aurora
Bank of America
BBC
bitcoin
BlockFi
Box
Brave
BYD
ByteDance
CATL
Cessna
ChargePoint
Coinbase
Continental
Coursera
Dash
Desktop Metal
Discord
Disney
DJI
Donkey Republic
Dropbox
DuckDuckGo
Electrify America
facebook
FICO
Ford
Github
GM
Google
Grab
Hardt Hyperloop
Honda
HP
Huawei
IBM
Intel
JPMorgan Chase
Lenovo
LG
LG Energy
Lime
London Stock Exchange
Lyft
MicroAcquire
Microsoft
Nokia
NSO Group
Nvidia
Okta
OnlyFans
Panasonic
PayPal
PayU
Pinterest
Polymarket
Porsche
Postmates
Pulley
Qualcomm
Rakuten
Raspberry Pi
Reddit
Redwood Materials
Routematch
Segment
SharesPost
Shopify
Slack
SMIC
Stripe
Substack
Telegram
Tencent
Tesla
Texas
Toyota
TSMC
Twilio
Twitter
Uber
Venmo
Virgin Hyperloop
Visa
Volvo
Walmart
Weibo
Xapo
Xiaomi
Zoom
Person
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Platforms
2021 Q3
7.9b world population, 5.9b adults โ age >15yrs (75% of world pop)
Platforms
2021 Q3
8.0b mobile connections, non-IoT SIM cards (102%)
5.3b unique mobile phone users (67%)
Platforms
2021 Q3
7.1b w/ electric power (90%)
Platforms
2021 Q3
5.8b w/ access to working/adequate toilets (74%)
Platforms
2021 Q3
4.2b active smartphone users (53%), 0.4b 5G smartphones in 2020
~2b Android, ~1b iPhones, ~1b Chinese Android
Platforms
2021 Q3
Q4 2020 sales (units): ๐ฅApple ๐ฅSamsung ๐ฅXiaomi
iPhone 12 = #1 selling smartphone
smartphone trade-in: 3.2 avg age, $138 avg value (22% YoY)
mkt sh: India=Xiaomi (28%), Africa=Transsion (48%)
Platforms
2021 Q3
4.0b (51%) have access to global navigation satellite system
๐บ๐ธ=GPS ๐จ๐ณ=BeiDou ๐ท๐บ=GLONASS ๐ช๐บ=Galileo ๐ฎ๐ณ=NavIC
Platforms
2021 Q3
2.4b bikes (31%), Copenhagen 2016: 1st time bikes in street > cars
Platforms
2021 Q3
1.6b cars (20%), keeps rising, of which 14m EV (0.8% of cars)
Platforms
2021 Q3
1.4b PCs (18%) = 1.1b Windows, 0.2b Mac + Linux
Q4 2020 sales: +11% YoY, 47% = Lenovo + HP
Platforms
2021 Q3
0.4b (5.7%) wearables: earwear, wristbands, watches (3.6%), others
2018 sales: earwear = 0.6x watches. 2019: earwear = 1.8x watches
Platforms
2021 Q3
0.4b smart speakers (5.1%). USA: 1 per household
Skills
2021 Q3
80% of the global workforce does not sit behind a desk (deskless)
>25% of adults *unable* to use a cpu (2b people) vs 1.1b+ illiterate
Skills
2021 Q3
25m software dev (0.3% world pop), 750m excel users, 150m google sheets
60m of K-12 (USA) = code.org account, 1.7m USA kids = homeschool
Skills
2021 Q3
44% GDP (USA) = people working (wages/salaries), completely unoptimized
๐บ๐ธ 60m gigworkers, 7.7m unemployed, 3.3m cashiers, 1.5m RE agents
Skills
2021 Q3
82m "learners" using Coursera (56 degrees), 10% USA univ = fully online
Skills
2021 Q3
half-life of skills: 5yrs professional, 3yrs technical
to get ahead / not fall behind โ be constantly learning
Skills
2021 Q3
current work culture, remnant of ind age โ unsuited for information age
steady/monotonous vs creativity: sprint when inspired + rest/repeat
Skills
2021 Q3
learn to sell, learn to build. If you can do both โ unstoppable
OnlyFans: 1m creators, 120m users, $3.2b paid to creators in 4yrs
Substack: 1m active readers, 500k paying, #1 publisher ~$5m/yr
Skills
2021 Q3
$1.6t in student debt vs $10.3t in mortgage debt
avg 4yrs public college undergrad > USA median household income
Skills
2021 Q3
Income Sharing Agreements (ISA): educational financing away from debt
modern forms of equity finance for their personal growth and needs?
vertically integrated risk: bootcamps = financing + edu in same org
income tax โ ISA with the rest of the citizens of the country
Internet
2021 Q3
4.7b active internet users (59% of world pop), 4.3b *mobile* users
billions of people not online, or canโt access in own language
Internet
2021 Q3
separate *mobile* internets: ๐จ๐ณ=1b ๐ฎ๐ณ=980m ๐บ๐ธ=290m ๐ช๐บ=290m
โ rights: ๐จ๐ณNew IP ๐ฎ๐ณPDPA/Aadhaar ๐บ๐ธCCPA/COPRA ๐ช๐บGDPR/ePrivacy
Internet
2021 Q3
4.2b social media users (90%) +13% YoY, 4.1b email users (88%)
MAU: 2b YouTube (20% *all mobile* traffic), 440m BBC, 430m Reddit
Internet
2021 Q3
speeds: fastest 5G=354Mbps, avg broadband=110Mbps, avg mobile=57Mbps
India broadband internet rollout by subs: urban=101%, rural=34%
Internet
2021 Q3
5G: 30% pop covered (vs 4G=85%), 400m subs. ๐จ๐ณ=0.9m 5G base stations
33% of 5G budget โ *smart* factories/ports = industrial-scale IoT
Internet
2021 Q3
$500m 5G in aviation to grow at +50%/yr to $4b by 2026E
Internet
2021 Q3
connected IoT devices: 12b short-range, 2.1b wide-area (cellular)
cars, machines, meters, sensors, POS terminals, wearables, etc
IoT connections today: 2G/3G > 4G, industrial IoT just starting
Internet
2021 Q3
Blues Wireless: $49 for the device-to-cloud module, $0 after
IoT for all: embedded to hardware โ connect to internet no WiFi
Internet
2021 Q3
4.1k satellites (comms+obs) +30% YoY: ๐ฅ๐บ๐ธ=61% ๐ฅ๐จ๐ณ=11% ๐ฅ๐ท๐บ=4.1%
internet constellations: SpaceX=1.7k OneWeb=256 Planet=206
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