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Year
2021
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Category
Drivers of Creative Destruction
Winners Take All
Disruption of the Incumbents
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Amazon
Apple
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"saudi-arabia"]
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Person
Jeff Bezos
Platforms
2021 Q4
7.9b world population, 5.9b adults โ age >15yrs (75% of world pop)
Platforms
2021 Q4
8.0b mobile connections, non-IoT SIM cards (101%)
5.3b unique mobile phone users (67%)
Platforms
2021 Q4
7.1b w/ electric power (90%)
Platforms
2021 Q4
5.9b w/ access to working/adequate toilets (74%)
Platforms
2021 Q4
4.2b active smartphone users (53%), 0.4b 5G smartphones in 2020
~2b Android, ~1b iPhones, ~1b Chinese Android
Platforms
2021 Q4
Q3 2021 sales (units): ๐ฅ21%=Samsung ๐ฅ15%=Apple ๐ฅ13%=Xiaomi
iPhone 12 = #1 selling smartphone YTD 2021
smartphone trade-in: 3.2 avg age, $138 avg value (22% YoY)
๐จ๐ณ makers #1 by mkt sh: India=Xiaomi (23%), Africa=Transsion (47%)
Platforms
2021 Q4
4.0b (51%) have access to global navigation satellite system
๐บ๐ธ=GPS ๐จ๐ณ=BeiDou ๐ท๐บ=GLONASS ๐ช๐บ=Galileo ๐ฎ๐ณ=NavIC
Platforms
2021 Q4
2.4b bikes (31%), 250m e-bikes (10% of bikes)
Platforms
2021 Q4
1.5b cars (20%), of which 15m EV (1% of cars)
Platforms
2021 Q4
1.4b PCs (18%), 1% YoY, Q3 2021 sales: 44% = Lenovo + HP
Platforms
2021 Q4
0.9b (11%) wearables: earwear, wristbands, watches, others
Q3 2021 sales (units): ๐ฅ29%=Apple ๐ฅ9.2%=Samsung ๐ฅ9.2%=Xiaomi
Platforms
2021 Q4
0.5b smart speakers (6.5%). USA: >1 per household
Platforms
2021 Q4
0.3b core gamers (across games/consoles)
Skills
2021 Q4
80% of the global workforce does not sit behind a desk (deskless)
>26% of adults *unable* to use a cpu (2b people) vs 1.1b+ illiterate
Skills
2021 Q4
Feynman technique: w/ pen+paper explain me like I'm 5, review/refine
written > spoken: documentation = remote teams's unspoken superpower
successful remote team members = great writers
Skills
2021 Q4
27m software dev (0.3% world pop), 750m excel users, 150m google sheets
60m of K-12 (USA) = code.org account, 1.7m USA kids = homeschool
Skills
2021 Q4
44% GDP (USA) = people working (wages/salaries), completely unoptimized
๐บ๐ธ 60m gigworkers, 22m healthcare, 3.3m cashiers, 1.6m RE agents
Skills
2021 Q4
82m "learners" using Coursera (58 degrees), 10% USA univ = fully online
top endowments: ๐ฅ$53b=Harvard ๐ฅ$47b=Princeton ๐ฅ$43b=Yale
Skills
2021 Q4
academic brain drain: tenured faculty members leaving to large tech co
Skills
2021 Q4
current work culture, remnant of ind age โ unsuited for information age
half-life of skills: 5yrs professional, 3yrs technical
Skills
2021 Q4
web3 = verify id+ownersh. = portable reputation = get paid for your work
creators earning a living wage (>$69k/yr) in USA, 41% YoY
Skills
2021 Q4
learn to sell, learn to build. If you can do both โ unstoppable
OnlyFans: 1.5m creators, 170m users, $3.2b paid to creators in 4yrs
Substack: 1m active readers, 1m paying, #1 publisher ~$5m/yr
Skills
2021 Q4
200k lens creator on Snap, Adobe photoshos web version on beta
Internet
2021 Q4
4.9b active internet users (59% of world pop), 4.3b *mobile* users
billions of people not online, or canโt access in own language
Internet
2021 Q4
separate *mobile* internets: ๐จ๐ณ=1b ๐ฎ๐ณ=810m ๐บ๐ธ=290m ๐ช๐บ=290m
โ rights: ๐จ๐ณNew IP ๐ฎ๐ณPDPA/Aadhaar ๐บ๐ธCCPA/COPRA ๐ช๐บGDPR/ePrivacy
Internet
2021 Q4
web3: next-gen internet platform structured as a publicly traed
blockchain-based network โ easier to bootstrap network vs telecoms
Internet
2021 Q4
4.2b social media users (90%) +13% YoY, 4.1b email users (88%)
MAU: 2b YouTube (20% *all mobile* traffic), 440m BBC, 500mE Reddit
Internet
2021 Q4
speeds: fastest 5G=416Mbps, avg broadband=120Mbps, avg mobile=70Mbps
Internet
2021 Q4
0.6b 5G subs (7.5% pop) vs 4.7b 4G (60%, but >80% covered) โ 4G = peaked
33% of 5G budget โ *smart* factories/ports = industrial-scale IoT
$500m 5G in aviation to grow at +50%/yr to $4b by 2026E
Internet
2021 Q4
IoT connections today: 2G/3G > 4G, industrial IoT just starting
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